Inatiatives fail

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Inatiatives fail

How People Make Decisions how experts make rapid fire decisions under fire. They do rapid pattern matching plus mental simulation. They satisfice, or, put it another way, they find a "good enough" fit for a pattern against a scenario.

The key here is that they are drawing from their experience. Think about doctors who have been there, done that in triage after triage, or firefighters who have seen it all before. They can make accurate snap judgments in the blink of a eye, long before a novice can think their way through the problem.

What if intuition is simply rapid pattern matching against mental simulation? When you meet somebody for the first time, your mind is doing rapid pattern matching.

Maybe some subtle things remind you of people from your past. Using the Force Your intuition can serve you by picking up clues faster than you might consciously be aware of and finding patterns that help you for the situation.

On the job, you probably have hunches all the time related to your area of expertise. You have a wealth of patterns and experience to draw from. When we looked long enough, we usually found the reason.

Believing There Are No Issues

In a class exercise, we were testing the wisdom of the crowds. I eyeballed the jar of jelly beans and made a guess.

Inatiatives fail

A long time ago, I had successfully guessed the number of jelly beans in a jar, so why not now? Well, I was off by a long shot.

Inatiatives fail

Meanwhile, the engineer next to me, was spot on off by just a handful. He methodically took the specs for the jar and calculated how many jelly beans should fit. So how do you improve your intuition? Fill your head with relevant patterns and experience.

21 Failed Inventions | Mental Floss

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It can also fail you. The key is to know when it helps you, and when it works against you. It’s taken me a while to connect some dots but now I have a much better sense of when my intuition is on, and when it is off. It comes down to whether I have relevant experience or patterns to draw.

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The lack of .

When Your Intuition Fails You